Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.134353 0.155404 0.178646 0.206207 0.237999 0.273527 0.316252
2025-11-16 0.102211 0.130745 0.165490 0.210902 0.268712 0.339883 0.434245
2025-11-23 0.083717 0.114856 0.155443 0.212207 0.289584 0.391467 0.536012
2025-11-30 0.071908 0.104458 0.149306 0.215588 0.311125 0.443994 0.643192
2025-12-07 0.060945 0.093038 0.139436 0.211377 0.320208 0.478919 0.728516
2025-12-14 0.052840 0.084330 0.131864 0.208795 0.330324 0.515232 0.818733
2025-12-21 0.047485 0.078922 0.128280 0.211353 0.347870 0.563770 0.932235
2025-12-28 0.044482 0.076758 0.129312 0.221022 0.377334 0.633529 1.086803
2026-01-04 0.041197 0.073635 0.128281 0.226932 0.400916 0.695771 1.235334
2026-01-11 0.038192 0.070566 0.126887 0.231867 0.423075 0.757491 1.389215
2026-01-18 0.035100 0.066932 0.124025 0.233729 0.439746 0.811004 1.533814
2026-01-25 0.031715 0.062328 0.118860 0.230687 0.446921 0.847880 1.651343
2026-02-01 0.028072 0.056858 0.111589 0.223043 0.444946 0.868331 1.741524
2026-02-08 0.026354 0.054961 0.110909 0.228094 0.468099 0.938847 1.937172
2026-02-15 0.024420 0.052381 0.108574 0.229505 0.484019 0.996678 2.113455
2026-02-22 0.022918 0.050509 0.107430 0.233161 0.504800 1.066115 2.320847
2026-03-01 0.020805 0.047075 0.102666 0.228607 0.507712 1.098947 2.454086
2026-03-08 0.019074 0.044273 0.098926 0.225816 0.514038 1.139427 2.608040
2026-03-15 0.017963 0.042735 0.097760 0.228582 0.532900 1.208738 2.833491
2026-03-22 0.017517 0.042681 0.099881 0.239036 0.570285 1.322652 3.172897
2026-03-29 0.016799 0.041898 0.100250 0.245425 0.598874 1.419464 3.482674
2026-04-05 0.016058 0.040974 0.100185 0.250761 0.625496 1.514316 3.797884
2026-04-12 0.015166 0.039569 0.098824 0.252773 0.644225 1.592328 4.080229